Brazil's 2026-27 Coffee Crop Expected to See 11.5% Increase – CoffeeTalk

Brazil’s coffee crop for the 2026/27 season, starting in July, is projected to increase by 11.5% compared to the previous season, attributable to favorable climatic conditions and effective crop management practices, according to a survey conducted by the Coffee Trading Academy (CTA). The survey involved insights from 758 farmers across all coffee-producing regions in Brazil, the world’s leading producer and exporter of coffee.

The CTA utilized the farmers’ indicated percentage increase to estimate a total output of 71.4 million 60-kg bags, marking a new record. Specifically, arabica coffee production is expected to reach 47.9 million bags, reflecting a 13.5% year-on-year increase, while robusta coffee output is predicted to total 23.5 million bags, which represents a 7.6% rise.

Moreover, the total area devoted to coffee cultivation has increased by 2.97% from the previous year, with arabica acreage growing by 2.7% and robusta acreage by 3.6%. A significant factor influencing this positive forecast is rainfall, with 63.5% of farmers reporting that off-season rainfall substantially benefitted their crops.

Fertilizer application has also seen a moderate rise of 5.4% compared to last season, as farmers noted that higher coffee prices permitted them to utilize adequate agricultural inputs. This estimate of 71.4 million bags is the third revision in CTA’s series assessing the 2026/27 crop, surpassing the November 2025 forecast of 69 million bags but falling short of the initial July 2025 estimate of 73.7 million bags.

Read More @ Reuters