Vietnam's Bumper Harvest Projected To Be Largest In Four Years – CoffeeTalk

Vietnam is set to harvest its biggest coffee crop in four years, with output expected to increase to 1.76 million tons for the 2025-26 season, a 6% increase from last year. This would be equivalent to about 29.4 million 60-kilogram bags. Vietnam is the world’s largest producer of robusta, the variety used in instant coffee and espressos. A bigger flow of beans into the market could help plug global shortages following poorer-than-expected crops the previous two seasons and soften prices that skyrocketed 42% last month.

Coffee prices have seen further swings this week, with concerns over tight Brazilian supplies, U.S. tariffs, and profit-taking sending futures for the arabica variety near a record before whipping back, driving volatility to a four-year high. Increased robusta availability in Vietnam and Brazil offers roasters a more affordable and accessible alternative. The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts 31 million bags for 2025-26, with survey estimates ranging from 1.62 million tons to 1.9 million tons, or 27 million to 32 million bags.

Vietnamese farmers have invested more in crop management due to higher prices and are now preparing for the final round of fertilization ahead of the harvest. Some have even expanded their cultivation area or switched to coffee from durian. However, ongoing weather conditions remain crucial to the overall crop, as too much rain during harvesting could disrupt drying, delay shipments, and threaten bean quality. Rising domestic use could crimp exports, and global stockpiles remain tight, keeping prices elevated in the near term.

Read More @ The Spokesman