Climate Change Could Shift Coffee Productions To New Regions Like Turkey And New Zealand – CoffeeTalk

Turkey’s diverse agricultural zones, including the Eastern Black Sea region and the Çukurova region, may soon offer the right climatic conditions for coffee production, according to faculty member Vural Gökmen. Turkey’s potential to emerge as a coffee-growing nation comes at a time when traditional coffee-producing countries face mounting challenges due to climate change. The world’s major coffee producers, Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Indonesia, and Ethiopia, together account for about 70% of global production. However, rising temperatures and irregular weather events are increasingly threatening these regions, particularly those cultivating Arabica coffee. Irregular weather patterns, such as droughts followed by floods, are already causing erosion of fertile soils and reducing yield and quality. Gökmen warned that global warming could shift the regions suitable for coffee cultivation, with Arabica moving to northern latitudes and Robusta potentially replacing it. Additionally, the emergence of harmful pests and diseases, such as coffee leaf rust, poses additional risks. Gökmen stressed the importance of developing sustainable agricultural practices and cautioned against the excessive use of pesticides while tackling these threats. By 2025, coffee-growing areas in key producing countries could shrink by 50%, prompting a shift in production to new regions such as South Africa, China, and New Zealand — and possibly Turkey.

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